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Viewpoints about Market outlook
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Should the Fed engage in yield curve control?
Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve might soon implement yield curve control are rising. Is it the appropriate policy response at this juncture?
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Investments Unplugged with Philip Petursson
An insightful & lively Podcast with your host Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist, Manulife Investments. (Intended for Advisor Use Only)
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If you don’t understand history, you can’t learn from it
There’s a risk that the markets may be left disappointed with the pace of the economic recovery in the coming months. And therefore, our message remains the same: remove emotion from decision making, continue to be disciplined with respect to asset allocation, take the opportunity to rebalance portfolios, and take advantage of price dislocations.
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A different set of charts
Over the years, we’ve built a massive inventory of charts, models, and indicators to help us develop our capital markets strategy — our macro-economic indicators, valuation, inflation, and currency models to name a few.
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May U.S. jobs report stuns—hello V-shaped recovery?
The unexpectedly strong May U.S. jobs report caught many investors off guard. Does it mean that a reassessment of U.S. growth prospects is now necessary?
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U.S. economic outlook: macroeconomic headwinds vs. tailwinds
The United States is gradually reopening for business, but our Global Chief Economist Frances Donald believes the U.S. economy isn’t out of the woods just yet.
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Navigating uncertainty: assessing the three pillars of the Canadian equity market
The COVID-19 outbreak put an end to what was a strong start to 2020 for Canadian equities. Will the outlook for the asset class improve soon?
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Watch out for “in your ear”
We believe 2021 will see an earnings recovery, but one that will likely result in a shortfall from the peak in 2019.
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Connecting the dots
The current level of PMI would suggest that earnings growth could fall by 20–30% over the next six months. Given current valuation, we don’t believe that the market is fully reacting to this potential downside risk.
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Does 25% unemployment make you (un)comfortably numb?
In today’s environment, we estimate that the greater number of job losses will wane in the coming weeks.
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